0:00
/
0:00
Transcript

#18 Here and There: Egg Smuggling, Hot Coffee Bonanza and Disapproving Dems

Meanwhile the devastation in Ukraine continues . . . Next episode: 1930s Redux

(00:00:02):

Hello and welcome.

(00:00:04):

This is William Richardson,

(00:00:06):

otherwise known as Will,

(00:00:09):

here,

(00:00:10):

and Nicholas Richardson,

(00:00:12):

cousin Nikki,

(00:00:13):

to us who know him well,

(00:00:15):

ensconced in his library.

(00:00:18):

In my study, yes.

(00:00:22):

I'm in an undisclosed location.

(00:00:24):

I've moved from Cheyenne, Wyoming.

(00:00:27):

I can tell you where I was now.

(00:00:29):

I think I even mentioned it in the last broadcast.

(00:00:31):

Nobody

(00:00:32):

Yeah, well, you said Wyoming.

(00:00:34):

You didn't say where.

(00:00:35):

Yeah, nobody cares anyway.

(00:00:39):

But I am in another undisclosed location somewhere in the vast prairie states on a mission,

(00:00:50):

Brother like the Blues Brothers, a mission from God.

(00:00:54):

Yeah.

(00:00:58):

That's the way that is.

(00:00:59):

My mission right now is to talk to you, Nicholas, and to go over some headlines.

(00:01:03):

We have some really varied headlines because the world is absolutely mad right now.

(00:01:09):

We've never seen so much change from an American president since FDR in the 1930s

(00:01:18):

as we're seeing from Donald Trump and his group of game changers.

(00:01:28):

Here comes the rain.

(00:01:30):

We're going to get one of those prairie storms, I think.

(00:01:34):

They've said that there will be possibly tornadoes.

(00:01:38):

Oh.

(00:01:39):

Cyclones.

(00:01:40):

Remember the Wizard of Oz?

(00:01:41):

I remember the Wizard of Oz.

(00:01:43):

Well,

(00:01:43):

I hope my location doesn't get whisked off into a cyclone and I end up facing the

(00:01:49):

Wicked Witch surrounded by munchkins.

(00:01:52):

Indeed.

(00:01:52):

Yeah.

(00:01:54):

Well, you never know.

(00:01:55):

You never know.

(00:01:55):

Stranger things have happened.

(00:01:57):

I can't think of any because that's pretty strange.

(00:02:01):

If that were the case, which character would you prefer to be?

(00:02:05):

The Tin Man, the Scarecrow, or the Cowardly Lion, or one of the Flying Monkeys?

(00:02:13):

Which character would you be?

(00:02:14):

Assuming I'm Dorothy.

(00:02:15):

I don't know.

(00:02:19):

Probably the Lion.

(00:02:21):

You'd like to be the Lion.

(00:02:22):

Yeah, he's my favorite too.

(00:02:23):

There's something there's something catchy about that lion.

(00:02:26):

His transformation is amazing.

(00:02:28):

What a dramatic transformation.

(00:02:30):

Cowardly lion to.

(00:02:32):

The beast of beasts.

(00:02:34):

Anyway, a lot of things are happening and I suppose the main thing.

(00:02:41):

In world events, although we're going to talk about some regional events too, is.

(00:02:47):

The negotiations for ceasefire.

(00:02:50):

To which.

(00:02:52):

Ukraine has magically agreed.

(00:02:55):

Well, I don't think Ukraine had much choice, ultimately.

(00:02:59):

That's the point.

(00:03:02):

But in any event, a ceasefire would suit everybody, I suspect.

(00:03:07):

You know,

(00:03:07):

you could only have young men,

(00:03:09):

and it's mainly young men,

(00:03:10):

I accept that probably women involved as well,

(00:03:12):

but you can only have young men from either side slaughtering each other for so

(00:03:15):

long before somebody has to bring it to a halt.

(00:03:20):

Somebody has to bring it to a halt.

(00:03:22):

That's right.

(00:03:24):

But will the Russians, do the Russians want to bring it to a halt?

(00:03:29):

Because I just think they'll use delaying tactics as they have always.

(00:03:34):

Putin doesn't know the meaning of the word retreat.

(00:03:36):

He hasn't retreated from any of the areas where he moved, has he?

(00:03:41):

Except for, what's their situation in Syria right now?

(00:03:48):

I'm not clear.

(00:03:49):

It's not what it was, that's for sure.

(00:03:51):

It's not what it was.

(00:03:52):

I think they've been generally evacuating their hardware and their people.

(00:03:57):

I mean,

(00:03:57):

there have been a couple of ships that have steamed from Syria up through the

(00:04:02):

English Channel on their way to the northern Russian ports.

(00:04:08):

That's right.

(00:04:08):

I believe you, yeah.

(00:04:10):

That seems to ring a bell.

(00:04:12):

You follow these things.

(00:04:13):

You used to be a Middle East correspondent.

(00:04:15):

Yeah.

(00:04:17):

So,

(00:04:17):

yes,

(00:04:17):

I mean,

(00:04:18):

we talk about Syria because what has been the main event this week in Syria was the

(00:04:25):

new government,

(00:04:26):

which everybody thought would be jolly good,

(00:04:28):

turning around and massacring a large number of Alawites,

(00:04:31):

which are the minority which supported the Assad regime.

(00:04:37):

So it seems that plus ça change, plus ça la même chose are.

(00:04:41):

in terms of change in Syria, remains to be seen how much further that's going to go.

(00:04:46):

But the new leader is not the sort of wonderful person everybody was.

(00:04:53):

I don't know what they were expecting.

(00:04:55):

They were kind of fooling themselves into believing it will be a wonderful new regime.

(00:05:00):

But it appears not to be that different from the previous one.

(00:05:04):

Well, yeah, it's going to be oppressive because that's the history in Syria.

(00:05:11):

And the Middle East, unfortunately.

(00:05:13):

Very, yeah, unfortunately.

(00:05:14):

Not all of the Middle East, but a lot of it.

(00:05:17):

A lot of it, for sure.

(00:05:20):

And discontent, widespread, widespread poverty.

(00:05:24):

And despite the oil riches and so forth.

(00:05:32):

The other places, Georgia, Russia's still there.

(00:05:40):

No signs of retreat.

(00:05:41):

Still have those two provinces in the mountains on the border of Georgia.

(00:05:48):

I was there during that war, of course.

(00:05:52):

Reporting from Tbilisi and Goury and close to that area,

(00:05:55):

close to that area,

(00:05:56):

I went through the Russian tanks and a very long line,

(00:06:02):

probably 10 kilometers long of Russian

(00:06:06):

material, men and material, didn't look very scary.

(00:06:08):

A lot of it looked like it might not run for very long.

(00:06:13):

They weren't far away from Russia at that point.

(00:06:17):

They haven't left Transnistra, and they threatened Moldavia.

(00:06:21):

At any time, they might move there, and that puts them next to Romania.

(00:06:28):

And, of course, they continue to threaten the eastern part of

(00:06:34):

Ukraine, although it seems to be a stalemate, doesn't it?

(00:06:38):

I think the Russians are creeping.

(00:06:39):

I mean,

(00:06:40):

the Russians did make advances during the week when Trump had turned off the supply

(00:06:47):

of military,

(00:06:48):

but more importantly,

(00:06:49):

turned off the supply of intelligence.

(00:06:52):

So not just in the Kursk region,

(00:06:54):

but more significantly further south along the front,

(00:06:58):

the Russians were able to inch forward slightly.

(00:07:02):

A lot of destruction was brought by the missiles and drones that the Russians fired off,

(00:07:08):

but I understand that the Ukrainians responded with a lot of drone barrages,

(00:07:13):

but most of these things on both sides get shot down.

(00:07:16):

Well, that's what both sides claim, and they probably do.

(00:07:18):

They probably do,

(00:07:20):

but I saw a lot of destruction,

(00:07:24):

more than a lot of destruction on the Ukrainian side,

(00:07:30):

as we all did pictures

(00:07:32):

Photographs freely available on the internet.

(00:07:36):

Where else have they not moved?

(00:07:38):

What's the main threat?

(00:07:40):

What's the main threat of the Russians?

(00:07:42):

Why will they not do a ceasefire?

(00:07:45):

Let me ask you that.

(00:07:46):

Why will they not do a ceasefire?

(00:07:48):

You're a man who's doing the news every night.

(00:07:51):

You're a professional, and we need a professional opinion right here, right now.

(00:07:54):

Well, they won't do a ceasefire immediately because, A,

(00:07:59):

They claim,

(00:08:00):

of course,

(00:08:00):

it's typical of the Russians,

(00:08:02):

that they claim that a ceasefire will be used by Ukraine to regroup and re-equip

(00:08:07):

its army.

(00:08:07):

But of course, the Russians have been doing exactly the same.

(00:08:10):

I think the main problem is that the Russians see their own actions as wholly

(00:08:14):

justified and that a ceasefire doesn't get them what they want,

(00:08:18):

which is their original grievance,

(00:08:20):

which was obviously manufactured,

(00:08:23):

about the need to make certain changes in Ukraine and to,

(00:08:26):

as they would see it,

(00:08:27):

to defend

(00:08:29):

Russian security,

(00:08:30):

which means no NATO troops anywhere near Ukraine,

(00:08:35):

Ukraine not in NATO,

(00:08:38):

a change of regime in Ukraine and some restriction on Ukraine's military capability.

(00:08:46):

All of which,

(00:08:46):

of course,

(00:08:47):

is complete nonsense,

(00:08:48):

given that it was Russia that attacked Ukraine in the first place.

(00:08:51):

And there is no evidence that Ukraine posed any threat to Russia.

(00:08:55):

But this is unfortunately the paranoia oblique Shia

(00:09:01):

of Putin and his merry men in terms of manufacturing a grievance and then taking

(00:09:08):

action to put right this grievance.

(00:09:11):

If you were Putin, where would you attack next?

(00:09:14):

Well,

(00:09:16):

I think if I were Putin,

(00:09:17):

I don't,

(00:09:20):

unless he wants to really widen the war and go completely wild and suddenly go to

(00:09:24):

another country,

(00:09:25):

I think he's just going to keep pressing on where he is.

(00:09:28):

It's not a desperately impressive performance by the Russians.

(00:09:31):

In fact, they're relying on so many Korean troops, North Korean troops, I should say.

(00:09:36):

The latest interviews I've seen with Ukrainian soldiers suggest,

(00:09:43):

particularly in the Kursk region,

(00:09:45):

that the North Koreans are not as bad as everybody was claiming they were,

(00:09:50):

that they are fearless fighters and they just keep going.

(00:09:53):

Ideal communist sort of party party.

(00:09:57):

type of soldiers they just go and if they get killed along the way they don't

(00:10:00):

really care too much um so it's not the case that they as they were apparently at

(00:10:05):

the beginning arriving in a completely strange country not knowing where they were

(00:10:08):

or what they were doing it seems they are beginning to fight much more effectively

(00:10:14):

and are they uh there the reports are that ukrainians are encircled in kursk

(00:10:22):

Yes, in the Kursk.

(00:10:24):

They never got as far as the city of Kursk, but in the Kursk region, yes, they are.

(00:10:29):

That is the problem, particularly during this week, that there is one very minor.

(00:10:35):

There's a road to where their main forces are to get back to their own supply lines.

(00:10:40):

But the neck of country which they control,

(00:10:42):

which protects this road,

(00:10:43):

was only last time I looked 400 metres wide,

(00:10:47):

which is not very much.

(00:10:49):

And it makes it very difficult for them either to resupply.

(00:10:52):

the people on the Kursk front or for the Kursk front to effect an orderly retreat.

(00:11:01):

And it was particularly in this last week when they were short of intelligence as

(00:11:07):

to where the Russian forces were,

(00:11:09):

that the Russians were able to make advances in that particular sector of the front.

(00:11:13):

Well, there was some kind of something about Russian special forces troops

(00:11:23):

crawling through a long pipe.

(00:11:26):

They were crawling through some gas pipes.

(00:11:28):

Yeah.

(00:11:29):

And then coming out, popping out like, you know.

(00:11:31):

Yeah.

(00:11:32):

But I think that the Ukrainians eventually put a stop to that.

(00:11:37):

But even so, it's in a very delicate balance in Kursk.

(00:11:43):

And if Ukrainians lose the 10,000 soldiers in Kursk,

(00:11:46):

they happen to be among their better 10,000 soldiers.

(00:11:49):

How are they going to lose them?

(00:11:50):

I mean, what's the Ukrainian plan?

(00:11:52):

If you're in Ukraine,

(00:11:53):

What's your plan to rescue those that break through that salient?

(00:11:59):

Well,

(00:12:00):

I don't know what their plan is,

(00:12:01):

but I presume their plan is they have to beat an orderly retreat before it's too late,

(00:12:05):

I suspect.

(00:12:06):

Yeah, because there must be a way still out of there.

(00:12:09):

There is.

(00:12:09):

They can fight their way out.

(00:12:11):

There can't be a really strong ring to the west.

(00:12:15):

Not quite yet, but they don't have a lot of time to think about it, as I understand.

(00:12:19):

They need to think about moving out of there, don't they?

(00:12:22):

Well, they do really.

(00:12:22):

I mean, they've made that point and it was quite a good point.

(00:12:25):

Well, the ceasefire can't take place as long as they're there.

(00:12:28):

I mean, the Russians can be on Ukrainian territory.

(00:12:30):

Ukrainians can't be on Russian territory, right?

(00:12:33):

Well, that is the Russian thinking as always, yes.

(00:12:40):

OK, so.

(00:12:43):

I still think the wildcard in this negotiation is Trump's personality.

(00:12:47):

I don't think that's an original idea particularly, but it's worth highlighting.

(00:12:51):

that he doesn't like to be upstaged.

(00:12:54):

No.

(00:12:55):

The one thing he doesn't want is Putin to come out looking better than he does.

(00:13:00):

Whatever you think of Trump's decision-making regarding Ukraine.

(00:13:07):

Yeah,

(00:13:08):

well,

(00:13:08):

the problem was that Trump,

(00:13:10):

that is,

(00:13:11):

sort of gave away most of his negotiating tactics to the Russians before he even started.

(00:13:17):

Which doesn't sound like art of the deal, does it?

(00:13:19):

No,

(00:13:20):

or it was either some major double bluff,

(00:13:22):

which none of the world's experts have been able to see through yet.

(00:13:26):

It may be pretend to be weaker than you are and then smack, you know, smack.

(00:13:30):

I mean,

(00:13:31):

the issue with the problem with all of this or not the problem,

(00:13:34):

but the issue is simply this.

(00:13:36):

Ukraine is not and is unlikely ever to be in our lifetimes, at least a member of NATO.

(00:13:42):

Therefore, as Russia well knows, there's a limited amount of support.

(00:13:48):

which Ukraine can expect from anybody else,

(00:13:51):

the way of stopping Russia would be militarily,

(00:13:53):

but nobody,

(00:13:54):

either the United States nor NATO in the wider sense,

(00:13:58):

has any desire to go to war with Russia.

(00:14:02):

So although Russia is extremely weak financially,

(00:14:05):

demographically,

(00:14:06):

and obviously militarily,

(00:14:09):

there is a limit to how much we can actually do effectively to stop them.

(00:14:15):

How weak are they?

(00:14:16):

Because...

(00:14:18):

It's things and hear things that the Russian economy is doing very well because of

(00:14:22):

their energy.

(00:14:23):

They've been their gas and oil that they've been able to natural gas and oil.

(00:14:28):

They've been able to actually find as many markets and sell as much as they were before.

(00:14:36):

They're just not selling it to the West.

(00:14:38):

Yeah, well, they're selling to China and India in particular.

(00:14:41):

Amongst others, but those are the two.

(00:14:43):

China doesn't have any of its own.

(00:14:45):

And it's also getting into the European Union as well.

(00:14:48):

I mean, that's some, believe it or not.

(00:14:50):

It's still some going to the European Union.

(00:14:52):

It's still some going to the European Union.

(00:14:54):

Germany.

(00:14:56):

Well, of course.

(00:14:56):

Isn't Germany the main receiver of their natural gas right now?

(00:15:00):

I think it is.

(00:15:01):

I think it still is, yes.

(00:15:02):

I think the plan in the United States, maybe, seems a likely plan is...

(00:15:10):

with the deregulation of gas and oil production that Europe can be supplied from

(00:15:16):

the United States,

(00:15:17):

which has the greatest resources of anyone.

(00:15:19):

Well, of course.

(00:15:21):

Not even counting Alaska.

(00:15:23):

And not to mention, I mean, look at Canada as well.

(00:15:26):

And Mexico has oil, too.

(00:15:28):

Well, exactly.

(00:15:29):

Venezuela has oil.

(00:15:30):

I mean, lots of people have oil.

(00:15:31):

Well, we don't know whose side Venezuela's on.

(00:15:34):

I suppose the United States is still in charge, more or less, of what's happening in Venezuela.

(00:15:41):

But it's in the backyard.

(00:15:44):

Yes, I suspect.

(00:15:45):

Sorry, just to finish off.

(00:15:46):

What's going to happen?

(00:15:47):

What do you predict is going to happen with these negotiations?

(00:15:49):

My prediction is that Putin stalls and pulls out,

(00:15:52):

keeps stalling,

(00:15:54):

eventually pulls out,

(00:15:55):

and is just playing for time.

(00:15:57):

I think he is.

(00:15:57):

He's already said yes in principle, but there are some details.

(00:16:01):

And we'll never know what these details are.

(00:16:03):

No,

(00:16:03):

I'd tell you what some of the details are that I just came across before we started

(00:16:08):

talking today.

(00:16:10):

since yesterday when we talked last,

(00:16:14):

that is that Ukraine must stand down the mobilization of its army.

(00:16:19):

They must stop producing weapons, all kinds of things which are ridiculous.

(00:16:24):

Well, exactly.

(00:16:24):

They're going to fly.

(00:16:25):

That's why I don't think it's going to work.

(00:16:28):

So it's not going to work.

(00:16:29):

But I mean,

(00:16:30):

I think probably Putin is finding it very difficult to know what to do next,

(00:16:33):

in all honesty.

(00:16:36):

Because if he agrees to peace or a peace deal,

(00:16:41):

He then risks the nutters back home who will say he's betrayed Mother Russia.

(00:16:48):

If he doesn't agree to a peace deal or even a ceasefire,

(00:16:53):

then he's likely to incur the wrath of Donald Trump,

(00:16:57):

whatever that means.

(00:16:58):

But it will then become a longer war of attrition.

(00:17:02):

OK, you are also NATO correspondent, Nicholas.

(00:17:04):

I'm going to ask you about that.

(00:17:07):

You reported on NATO for several years to then the Middle East.

(00:17:13):

And that was a weekly or bi-monthly thing.

(00:17:15):

Weekly, weekly.

(00:17:16):

Quite a decent-sized segment, you know, on the TV there.

(00:17:23):

In English, of course.

(00:17:27):

What do you think is NATO's response?

(00:17:29):

I need to talk to our friend Anthony McFarlane-Gonzalez,

(00:17:33):

who,

(00:17:34):

of course,

(00:17:34):

is a cybersecurity expert with NATO.

(00:17:38):

I'm going to get him and talk to him this week.

(00:17:41):

but what do you think is NATO's move right now?

(00:17:46):

Well,

(00:17:47):

NATO's move right now is rather confused because,

(00:17:49):

of course,

(00:17:49):

the United States is the major part of NATO,

(00:17:51):

and nobody's quite sure what the United States' attitude to all this is,

(00:17:55):

other than what's been happening when Saudi Arabia talks between this original or

(00:18:02):

this tentative peace deal.

(00:18:04):

In terms of Keir Starmer, the British Prime Minister's coalition of the willing,

(00:18:09):

They had another large 29 nation conference call, I think, yesterday or Friday.

(00:18:16):

The upshot was they were going to send when when when peace finally breaks out,

(00:18:21):

they'll send a peacekeeping force of 10,000 soldiers,

(00:18:25):

which is obviously inadequate.

(00:18:26):

And two minesweepers,

(00:18:27):

which are ex-Roll Navy minesweepers,

(00:18:30):

which were given to the Ukrainian Navy,

(00:18:32):

but they're nowhere near Ukraine because since the outbreak of hostilities,

(00:18:35):

as is their right and has been their right for donkey's years,

(00:18:39):

Turkey has closed the boss for us to warships,

(00:18:43):

which it always does in a time of conflict.

(00:18:45):

But the point is,

(00:18:46):

it's all right these people running around,

(00:18:48):

but they're making promises to send soldiers they haven't got.

(00:18:53):

to a frontier they can't defend.

(00:18:55):

And it may make them all feel better, but it's of very little practical use to anybody.

(00:19:01):

And if I can see that and you can see that, I'm sure the Russians can see it.

(00:19:04):

The problem is the European Union members of NATO and the European members of NATO

(00:19:12):

have allowed both their armed forces,

(00:19:15):

but even more importantly,

(00:19:17):

their manufacturing,

(00:19:18):

their arms manufacturing capability

(00:19:21):

to decline to such a large extent over the last couple of decades that it will take

(00:19:27):

them years and years and years to be able to make a meaningful contribution.

(00:19:33):

So they should start now.

(00:19:34):

As you can see, they're still a bit slow at getting started.

(00:19:39):

And that is part of it.

(00:19:39):

I mean,

(00:19:40):

on paper,

(00:19:40):

NATO has lots of people available,

(00:19:43):

lots of soldiers and sailors and airmen and airwomen,

(00:19:46):

et cetera,

(00:19:46):

available on paper.

(00:19:48):

But in reality, it is slightly different.

(00:19:51):

People are finally beginning to wake up.

(00:19:53):

But I still don't detect,

(00:19:57):

when you read what people are up to,

(00:19:59):

I still don't detect any sense of urgency.

(00:20:03):

The new German Chancellor is seeking to reverse decades of German fiscal

(00:20:11):

conservatism by creating these two large funds,

(00:20:15):

which would allow a rather greater federal borrowing.

(00:20:18):

with a view to being able to spend more on defense.

(00:20:21):

But modern defense is very complicated.

(00:20:25):

It takes years to build up resources.

(00:20:29):

And that is part of the problem now.

(00:20:33):

The country should never have allowed their defense.

(00:20:36):

And to be fair to successive American presidents and military leaders,

(00:20:40):

they've been urging Europe for decades to take defense more seriously.

(00:20:45):

But everybody thought, oh, well, the world is,

(00:20:48):

very safe, and then after 1989, that was it, we've won.

(00:20:52):

And then under Angela Merkel,

(00:20:54):

we can do lots of good deals with the Russians,

(00:20:56):

and the Russians will be so keen to sell us oil and gas,

(00:20:58):

they won't be any trouble to us.

(00:21:01):

And unfortunately, that has not turned out to be the case.

(00:21:05):

And so now everybody's in a bit of a pickle.

(00:21:07):

Yeah, I mean, Merkel was not the right leader.

(00:21:13):

She made a lot of the same mistakes Biden's people made.

(00:21:19):

which riled the German people,

(00:21:24):

preferring foreign immigrants to their own people is not a winning policy.

(00:21:30):

Which brings me to,

(00:21:32):

are you aware that,

(00:21:34):

and this is headlined from a left-wing,

(00:21:37):

or let's say,

(00:21:39):

not conservative website,

(00:21:40):

68 percent,

(00:21:44):

of people disapprove of the Democratic Party.

(00:21:47):

That's all voters.

(00:21:48):

68%.

(00:21:48):

This includes Republicans and Democrats.

(00:21:54):

Of Democrats, only 21% disapprove.

(00:21:56):

40% approve of Democrats.

(00:21:57):

49% of Democrats, which is really bizarre, disapprove of their party.

(00:22:02):

So that

(00:22:12):

shows a shift to the center, strong shift to the center.

(00:22:18):

And yet they're looking for their leadership from the left still.

(00:22:23):

Well, this is the problem.

(00:22:24):

People like Cortez.

(00:22:26):

Well, that would be a disaster, wouldn't it?

(00:22:28):

I mean, that just makes a bad situation worse.

(00:22:30):

I don't think she is.

(00:22:32):

It's worse than Tulsi Gabbard on understanding international policy.

(00:22:36):

Cortez and...

(00:22:38):

that group of three or four congresswomen,

(00:22:41):

one of which who is an extreme Islamicist,

(00:22:44):

who seems to think when the cameras are not on her,

(00:22:47):

quite happy to stand up at rallies and meetings of Muslims and say that America is

(00:22:53):

and should be an Islamic state.

(00:22:55):

These people are extremely dangerous.

(00:22:57):

But you're right, this move to the centre, I mean, I don't see it as a move to the centre.

(00:23:01):

I don't think it's the politicians of either side who've abandoned the centre.

(00:23:06):

The people,

(00:23:06):

both in the United States and the United Kingdom,

(00:23:09):

have always been broadly centrist.

(00:23:12):

Yeah, exactly.

(00:23:14):

But let's describe what that centrism encompasses, because I completely agree.

(00:23:20):

Well, I think there's... They're moderate.

(00:23:23):

People are moderate.

(00:23:24):

Yeah, it means sensible economic policies.

(00:23:27):

It means things working properly.

(00:23:30):

It means not allowing minorities to take the mickey.

(00:23:34):

Essentially,

(00:23:35):

it means no to mass immigration,

(00:23:38):

which is really something the politicians have been too scared to put to the vote

(00:23:44):

because they know the people will reject it.

(00:23:46):

This is not just in the United States or the United Kingdom, across the European Union.

(00:23:50):

Everybody is getting fed up of this.

(00:23:52):

Yeah,

(00:23:52):

well,

(00:23:52):

the problem,

(00:23:53):

the thing is that people forget when they're supporting this mass immigration is

(00:24:00):

that

(00:24:01):

I mean,

(00:24:01):

the argument from the left is,

(00:24:03):

boy,

(00:24:04):

this is interesting,

(00:24:05):

too,

(00:24:06):

because it's not the capitalists who are saying we need illegal immigrants.

(00:24:10):

It's the left wing socialists.

(00:24:11):

They're saying they're particularly pushing the idea.

(00:24:14):

OK, we have a mixed economy.

(00:24:18):

All of us are socialists to a certain extent because of the government programs

(00:24:22):

that we have voted in.

(00:24:24):

And we voted in politicians who created them for almost 100 years.

(00:24:31):

certainly since the 1930s in the West.

(00:24:35):

But we are penalizing the mass of people who want to immigrate through the proper

(00:24:46):

channels and rewarding people who don't do it.

(00:24:50):

With all kinds of things,

(00:24:52):

you know,

(00:24:52):

talking about if you apply in the United States for citizenship,

(00:24:57):

even if you're married to someone,

(00:24:59):

you have to show that you're not going to be a ward of the state, right?

(00:25:03):

Which the state's not going to,

(00:25:04):

you have to show an income,

(00:25:05):

the state's not going to take care of you.

(00:25:07):

But yet all this huge mass of immigration that came in were people just pouring

(00:25:12):

over the border with no checks at all,

(00:25:15):

at all,

(00:25:15):

including during COVID when they weren't even checked for the virus,

(00:25:18):

when everybody else was.

(00:25:20):

This dichotomy is one of the reasons that people want, maybe the chief reason, uh,

(00:25:27):

because people see it in their everyday lives,

(00:25:29):

the unfairness of it,

(00:25:30):

is why people are against the Democrats,

(00:25:34):

because it's a lack of common sense.

(00:25:37):

But it is.

(00:25:37):

I mean,

(00:25:38):

you know,

(00:25:38):

the first thing Keir Starmer's government did in the United Kingdom was the much

(00:25:43):

derided Rwanda scheme,

(00:25:45):

which was beginning to have an effect even before it became operational.

(00:25:48):

And this was proven by the large numbers of migrants who suddenly turned up in Dublin

(00:25:53):

having got themselves to Northern Ireland and cross the border because they were

(00:25:56):

worried if they stayed within the United Kingdom,

(00:25:59):

they would somehow be sent to Rwanda.

(00:26:02):

Keir Starmer, of course, they said this was terrible.

(00:26:04):

So they came and they abandoned it straight away.

(00:26:07):

Interesting to note, interesting to note.

(00:26:10):

that the Italians are wanting to do something similar in Albania.

(00:26:14):

The Germans are looking at a similar scheme somewhere else.

(00:26:16):

The Dutch, the Dutch of all people, are in discussions with a similar scheme with Uganda.

(00:26:22):

The Australian- The Dutch are not the Danes.

(00:26:25):

They're not the Scandinavians.

(00:26:26):

They're much more- And actually, Scandinavians are much more underneath the surface.

(00:26:31):

I mean, they're Vikings.

(00:26:31):

They really don't like other people.

(00:26:35):

Denmark has sort of closed its borders as best it can.

(00:26:38):

Sweden is essentially saying no more asylum people.

(00:26:42):

And they're getting rid of people who are troublemakers, too.

(00:26:45):

Well, we should get rid of people who are troublemakers.

(00:26:49):

What people forget is there are many people who have come legally as immigrants

(00:26:54):

over the last few years,

(00:26:55):

or indeed over a longer period,

(00:26:57):

who are themselves distressed by what is happening because it A,

(00:27:01):

makes their life more difficult.

(00:27:03):

B, they get tarred with the same brush every time something goes wrong.

(00:27:07):

They're stigmatized.

(00:27:08):

Nicholas, you're absolutely right.

(00:27:11):

People think of immigrants,

(00:27:13):

they think all these great guys and women who run the corner shop,

(00:27:16):

who do all these useful jobs,

(00:27:18):

particularly in the case of the,

(00:27:19):

you know,

(00:27:19):

from many years ago,

(00:27:20):

the Ugandan Asians who came to the United Kingdom and become very prominent

(00:27:24):

business people.

(00:27:25):

That's what people think of immigrants.

(00:27:26):

But what we've been getting in recent years, very few have fallen into that category.

(00:27:33):

You get tons of people coming across, don't you, Nicholas?

(00:27:35):

And just to agree with you,

(00:27:37):

Tons of people coming across the board who don't even speak English or even make a

(00:27:42):

rudimentary effort at speaking English.

(00:27:44):

And why are they here?

(00:27:46):

Why are they in Europe?

(00:27:49):

Why are they in the United States?

(00:27:50):

Why?

(00:27:51):

Because of where it's soft touch.

(00:27:53):

I mean,

(00:27:53):

there's a particular problem with the United Kingdom is that English is such a

(00:27:58):

common language that many of them have family or they think if they get to England,

(00:28:01):

they'll be able to be absorbed into the job market more easily because they speak English.

(00:28:06):

And because we have,

(00:28:08):

because of our history,

(00:28:08):

we don't have the same checks and identity checks,

(00:28:12):

which they have in continental Europe.

(00:28:13):

It's very easy for Poland to keep people out,

(00:28:16):

or if they get here,

(00:28:17):

for them not to be able to do anything.

(00:28:19):

Because as you know,

(00:28:19):

in Poland,

(00:28:20):

you need a piece of paper with your name and number on to actually do anything.

(00:28:25):

That's not the case.

(00:28:28):

And this is something which the French have made this point,

(00:28:30):

particularly about the United Kingdom.

(00:28:33):

Please change your...

(00:28:36):

administration.

(00:28:36):

So at the pool,

(00:28:38):

you're not sucking in all these immigrants who are traveling across the continent

(00:28:42):

of Europe to get to the United Kingdom.

(00:28:45):

And it's just so obvious,

(00:28:47):

it beggars belief that last year,

(00:28:51):

the United Kingdom legally allowed 960,000 people into the country.

(00:28:59):

That's about 1.6 percent of the population.

(00:29:01):

So we're getting poorer because if the population grows by 1.6 percent,

(00:29:05):

but the economy grew by half a percent,

(00:29:08):

by definition,

(00:29:09):

on a GDP per capita basis,

(00:29:11):

we're poorer than we were the year before.

(00:29:13):

And how many of those people are productive in terms of working and creating and

(00:29:19):

paying taxes and the rest of it?

(00:29:21):

How many of them are indeed wards of the state?

(00:29:24):

The left doesn't seem to think that's a problem because that's going to be their voters.

(00:29:27):

Let's be frank about it.

(00:29:30):

Yeah.

(00:29:32):

In the United States, they need agricultural workers.

(00:29:34):

OK, that's the big argument from the left.

(00:29:38):

And that sometimes Republicans or somewhat traditionally,

(00:29:45):

I believe,

(00:29:46):

based on research and reading and listening,

(00:29:49):

have considered what they turn a blind eye to it.

(00:29:53):

to some extent,

(00:29:54):

but not 10 million,

(00:29:55):

12 million people in,

(00:29:57):

in a matter of,

(00:29:59):

uh,

(00:30:00):

what a decade,

(00:30:01):

I mean,

(00:30:01):

less than a decade,

(00:30:02):

probably,

(00:30:03):

uh,

(00:30:03):

who knows how many people there are.

(00:30:05):

If you just,

(00:30:07):

what kind of mindset opens the border gates to a flood of people,

(00:30:14):

you don't know who they are,

(00:30:15):

and then you reward them,

(00:30:18):

uh,

(00:30:20):

with entitlements,

(00:30:22):

uh,

(00:30:24):

Allow them to seek refugee status.

(00:30:27):

What kind of country does that and then makes it hard for people to do it legitimately?

(00:30:31):

Yeah, well, it reaches states of absurdity.

(00:30:34):

There's the prime minister of the United Kingdom saying,

(00:30:37):

yippee,

(00:30:38):

we're going to spend six billion pounds more on defense,

(00:30:42):

which is a good thing.

(00:30:42):

It should be 60 billion pounds more, but I take no point on that.

(00:30:46):

Isn't that wonderful?

(00:30:47):

But he actually claimed it's 13 billion, it's 6 billion.

(00:30:50):

At the same time,

(00:30:51):

he is spending and the government is spending eight billion pounds a year on

(00:30:55):

temporary accommodation for folk who arrived by Robert Dini,

(00:30:58):

who shouldn't across the channel,

(00:30:59):

should be there in the first place.

(00:31:01):

Where the you know, we do not.

(00:31:03):

Unfortunately,

(00:31:04):

after years of this nonsense,

(00:31:06):

the country is slowly going bankrupt and people say it's all Brexit.

(00:31:11):

It's not Brexit.

(00:31:12):

This is complete stupidity.

(00:31:14):

Yeah, well, this just came on the heels of Brexit.

(00:31:16):

or in the midst of Brexit.

(00:31:18):

So it looks like it might be Brexit.

(00:31:21):

I mean, Brexit has its pros and cons.

(00:31:23):

But when you throw in,

(00:31:25):

as you say,

(00:31:25):

that this amount of people into...

(00:31:28):

And then we have another problem.

(00:31:31):

We have nine million people of working age who are inactive economically.

(00:31:36):

Nine million.

(00:31:38):

Out of a population?

(00:31:39):

What's your population in the UK?

(00:31:40):

They reckon by the end of the decade,

(00:31:42):

the sickness benefit,

(00:31:43):

which is in addition to the other benefits...

(00:31:46):

will be 100 billion pounds a year, twice a defense budget.

(00:31:51):

This benefit did not exist 10 years ago.

(00:31:55):

What's the GDP of Britain?

(00:31:58):

Is it something like 2.5 trillion dollars, something like that?

(00:32:01):

2.5 trillion?

(00:32:04):

That sounds about right.

(00:32:05):

I don't know immediately, but that sounds about right.

(00:32:09):

The government is spending nearly, the government is spending about a trillion dollars.

(00:32:14):

And everybody gets very excited over saving six billion.

(00:32:19):

Yeah.

(00:32:19):

What's the remedy, though?

(00:32:23):

The remedy, like all remedies, is going to be very painful.

(00:32:27):

But we've reached that point.

(00:32:29):

That's the way it looks, doesn't it?

(00:32:30):

What we need is it's going to be the same shock to the system if anybody's prepared to do that.

(00:32:37):

that Mrs.

(00:32:38):

Thatcher brought when she was prime minister at the beginning,

(00:32:41):

which was terrible,

(00:32:42):

a terrible destruction.

(00:32:43):

In many ways, she went too far with industry, but it's that sort of shock we need.

(00:32:47):

We've got to get people working who are here.

(00:32:50):

We've got to stop taking more people who need to take out more than they can put in.

(00:32:57):

Otherwise, everybody is going to be poor.

(00:32:59):

Well, they are going to be poorer.

(00:33:01):

I mean, these are the facts.

(00:33:04):

Let's be clear.

(00:33:05):

We're not anti-immigration.

(00:33:07):

The declining population in the West,

(00:33:09):

in the United States,

(00:33:11):

in Europe and the United States,

(00:33:13):

we need people to come in.

(00:33:16):

We need the right sort of people.

(00:33:17):

We don't need people full stop.

(00:33:19):

And they have to go through the process.

(00:33:22):

You can't just throw a bunch of people with no connection to the countries they're

(00:33:26):

going to into the mix.

(00:33:27):

So they create ghettos and diasporas that become antithetical to the countries in

(00:33:34):

which they live.

(00:33:36):

That's exactly the point.

(00:33:40):

That's exactly what you get branded as being a racist for saying common sense.

(00:33:45):

But you wouldn't get branded as being a racist if you said if we were if people

(00:33:50):

were invading Rwanda or Kenya or or India or Pakistan.

(00:33:56):

That's all right.

(00:33:56):

That's all right.

(00:33:57):

It's OK for the Africans to throw out Whitey because he's a terrible person.

(00:34:01):

But it's not OK for Whitey in his country to say, hang on a minute.

(00:34:05):

I think we have too many people.

(00:34:07):

Can we just actually have can we have a common sense approach?

(00:34:10):

Stop calling me whitey.

(00:34:12):

You know what I mean?

(00:34:13):

I'm using dramatic language to emphasize the point.

(00:34:17):

All right.

(00:34:17):

Well, let's let's move on from that.

(00:34:19):

I think we've we've exhausted that for now.

(00:34:22):

And it's all food for thought.

(00:34:24):

And some people are going to disagree violently with what we're saying for some unknown reason.

(00:34:30):

And others will say,

(00:34:33):

as Gavin Newsom is beginning to say,

(00:34:35):

the very ultra-liberal governor of California,

(00:34:37):

he's sprinting to the center ahead of a presidential run.

(00:34:42):

So he's now meeting us in the center.

(00:34:45):

We're in the center.

(00:34:48):

We're moderates, centrists.

(00:34:52):

All our lives, we've been probably there.

(00:34:54):

I have.

(00:34:56):

Either a little to the left when I was younger and a little to the right of the center

(00:35:00):

as I got older, but certainly now on the conservative side, but perhaps it comes with age.

(00:35:09):

And losing some,

(00:35:13):

adopting practicality and losing some of the utopianism of youth,

(00:35:19):

which is a necessary part of,

(00:35:22):

that utopianism is perhaps a necessary part of coming of age.

(00:35:27):

At any rate, one must come of age.

(00:35:29):

Now,

(00:35:30):

Uh, I got a few stories here, which are going to blow your mind.

(00:35:35):

Okay.

(00:35:35):

People, the egg price.

(00:35:37):

Have you heard about the egg price in the United States?

(00:35:39):

I haven't.

(00:35:40):

Yeah, I've heard a lot.

(00:35:41):

There's been a lot.

(00:35:41):

It seems to me there's been a lot coming from the United States about the price of eggs.

(00:35:45):

This is becoming a political, a political feature.

(00:35:49):

Can I tell you a little bit about it?

(00:35:51):

Please do.

(00:35:52):

Okay.

(00:35:54):

The facts right in front of me, but no eggs, unfortunately are too expensive.

(00:35:59):

Um,

(00:36:01):

In 2019,

(00:36:02):

pre the pandemic,

(00:36:03):

it was one and a half dollars for a dozen eggs in the United States,

(00:36:08):

which is,

(00:36:09):

I don't know what it is in Poland,

(00:36:10):

it's about two dollars,

(00:36:12):

two and a half dollars in Poland,

(00:36:13):

but Europe's always more expensive.

(00:36:15):

That's what it is now,

(00:36:16):

okay,

(00:36:16):

in Poland and in Central Europe,

(00:36:20):

generally,

(00:36:21):

cheaper in the countryside.

(00:36:24):

In 2025, sorry,

(00:36:28):

2024, it was $3.

(00:36:30):

So double.

(00:36:32):

A year later, it's almost $6.

(00:36:36):

And people are smuggling eggs from Mexico.

(00:36:39):

There's a real thing on the border.

(00:36:41):

No, seriously.

(00:36:42):

There is smuggling eggs from Mexico.

(00:36:45):

And there's a sort of special lookout for egg smugglers, which is the most hilarious thing.

(00:36:52):

I never thought I'd see that.

(00:36:53):

But so many things we never thought we'd see.

(00:36:55):

Unfortunately, yes.

(00:36:57):

And this is just incredible.

(00:36:59):

I heard some of it had to do with avian flu,

(00:37:02):

but I think it's just inflation and the cost of fuel,

(00:37:06):

transport,

(00:37:07):

feed,

(00:37:09):

you know,

(00:37:11):

taking care of the chickens,

(00:37:14):

feeding them and lighting and warming the places where they live and all that sort

(00:37:18):

of thing.

(00:37:18):

So it's about energy, mostly, one would think.

(00:37:22):

And some avian flu, perhaps.

(00:37:25):

But...

(00:37:26):

That's a true thing.

(00:37:26):

On the border there, they are looking not just for drug smugglers, but for egg smugglers.

(00:37:32):

That's incredible.

(00:37:33):

Something I never thought I'd love to see.

(00:37:36):

It never occurred to me to smuggle eggs,

(00:37:38):

but I'll tell you what,

(00:37:39):

if I go to Mexico,

(00:37:43):

I'm going to see how many eggs I can get back in.

(00:37:46):

Because I believe in, being part Scottish, I believe in economy and frugality.

(00:37:54):

Now,

(00:37:55):

Which part is the question?

(00:37:57):

What about... You're aware of Doge, right?

(00:38:01):

And Musk, as the whole world seems to me, as they attack the bureaucracy.

(00:38:06):

Bureaucracy is not democracy, my phrase, if I may.

(00:38:10):

You may.

(00:38:12):

And under that motto,

(00:38:15):

perhaps,

(00:38:16):

we could say that they're attacking the bureaucracy in the United States and trying

(00:38:20):

to reduce it so we can get the debt down and balance the budget

(00:38:24):

Last time it was balanced was under a Democrat.

(00:38:27):

Full credit to Bill Clinton for balancing the budget.

(00:38:31):

He had a Republican Congress, and they worked very hard on doing that back 30 years ago.

(00:38:36):

All right.

(00:38:38):

So 60 percent, though, of Americans are disapproving of the way Musk is doing his job.

(00:38:47):

According to the poll I saw, it may be a left of center poll, but

(00:38:54):

Let's just say, even if it's 50%, a lot of people are unhappy.

(00:39:01):

And it doesn't dovetail exactly with, because we talked about how many people are disappointed.

(00:39:08):

Democrats are disappointed in their own party.

(00:39:10):

So it's not just Democrats.

(00:39:11):

It's Republicans and Democrats who are disapproving of this.

(00:39:19):

You know, 120 years ago, we had the Robert Barron's.

(00:39:24):

in the United States, that was the name for them.

(00:39:27):

The huge, I mean, they weren't billionaires.

(00:39:30):

They were just world owners.

(00:39:33):

The Carnegies, the Rockefellers, the Melons, the Goodyear, all of these families.

(00:39:45):

Pulitzer,

(00:39:46):

who controlled the press,

(00:39:47):

a lot of the press in the United States,

(00:39:50):

along with people like Hearst,

(00:39:52):

who was famously William Randolph Hearst,

(00:39:54):

famously very conservative.

(00:40:02):

These people were attacked.

(00:40:03):

I'm leading to something about Upton Sinclair, the writer.

(00:40:12):

These people were finally corralled by Teddy Roosevelt.

(00:40:16):

A lot of people look back to that time now,

(00:40:19):

looking at the vast wealth,

(00:40:22):

even commensurate wealth,

(00:40:25):

I should say JP Morgan as well,

(00:40:26):

who controlled finance,

(00:40:28):

who actually financed,

(00:40:30):

put together the package for the British so they could run their society during

(00:40:37):

their empire during World War I.

(00:40:41):

These people were attacked by Teddy Roosevelt and introduced the antitrust,

(00:40:48):

the antitrust acts,

(00:40:50):

which broke up,

(00:40:52):

for example,

(00:40:53):

Rockefeller's empire of oil, broke up standard oil in order to allow competition.

(00:41:01):

Anyway,

(00:41:01):

Teddy Roosevelt,

(00:41:03):

a rich man himself,

(00:41:04):

from the very highest elite of the East Coast,

(00:41:10):

Northeast Coast,

(00:41:13):

took a common sense approach and wanted to limit and did limit,

(00:41:18):

in fact,

(00:41:19):

the power of these people.

(00:41:20):

But another thing he did is very, very important.

(00:41:24):

which was protecting workers.

(00:41:25):

He was first reluctant to get involved.

(00:41:29):

But then Upton Sinclair wrote a book called The Jungle about the meatpacking

(00:41:33):

industry in Chicago.

(00:41:34):

Upton Sinclair went to Chicago and worked undercover in a meatpacking plant and saw

(00:41:44):

up close,

(00:41:46):

day by day,

(00:41:48):

what was going on.

(00:41:50):

And there was horrific things were going on,

(00:41:52):

not just the working conditions and the harm to the workers from loss of limbs,

(00:41:59):

from the machines,

(00:42:00):

from problems with the chemicals that were being used in the meatpacking,

(00:42:09):

particularly in the meatpacking process,

(00:42:12):

but in other things as well.

(00:42:15):

Sinclair wrote this serialized

(00:42:19):

articles in a left-wing socialist publication of the time,

(00:42:23):

because this was a time of great socialism,

(00:42:28):

not only in the United States,

(00:42:29):

but in the UK,

(00:42:30):

of course,

(00:42:30):

the Fabian Society,

(00:42:32):

and the leaders of the Webbs and Bernard Shaw,

(00:42:37):

who were trying to make a more palatable,

(00:42:38):

people were trying to make a more palatable version,

(00:42:44):

create a more palatable version of Marxism.

(00:42:49):

which was seen as way too radical to succeed in those countries.

(00:42:57):

But also there were workers' rights that needed to be examined.

(00:43:02):

These people were living and working in horrific conditions, to say the least.

(00:43:08):

Now, this change that was...

(00:43:15):

This desire for change with Teddy Roosevelt created the Pure Food and Drug Act,

(00:43:21):

which regulated the production of drugs.

(00:43:24):

It took cocaine and heroin out of the medicaments you could buy in the local

(00:43:30):

drugstore and regulated those substances.

(00:43:34):

You can say that in some ways it set the groundwork for the abolition of alcohol in

(00:43:41):

1918 or 1919.

(00:43:45):

just after the First World War, last until 1932, the prohibition time.

(00:43:52):

And then regulated all these industries that were slaughtering animals,

(00:44:01):

for example,

(00:44:01):

and then packing the meat.

(00:44:03):

I mean, they would pack spoiled meat, you know, disguised that it was spoiled.

(00:44:09):

I mean, you know, horrific things were going on.

(00:44:11):

Put it in your hot dogs, you know.

(00:44:14):

So.

(00:44:18):

that was an example of regulation on the ultra-rich, which was needed at the time, right?

(00:44:26):

And is it too far to say we need the same thing today?

(00:44:31):

I think not.

(00:44:33):

What say you?

(00:44:34):

I think we certainly do.

(00:44:36):

Yeah.

(00:44:37):

And why?

(00:44:38):

Well, because we have now an imbalance, right?

(00:44:43):

a small number of people,

(00:44:44):

largely American tech billionaires,

(00:44:47):

who have far too much power over most people's daily lives.

(00:44:52):

And we saw during COVID how this power was abused, essentially.

(00:45:00):

But it's now commonly admitted by everybody that this outbreak happened from an outbreak from a

(00:45:09):

Chinese laboratory in Wuhan, as a lot of people said at the time.

(00:45:13):

We weren't allowed to say that, but we said it.

(00:45:15):

At the time, people weren't allowed to say it.

(00:45:17):

They were banned by Facebook and people.

(00:45:20):

Some people probably lost their jobs over this.

(00:45:23):

A lot of people.

(00:45:23):

Now, where is the apology when they were actually merely telling the truth?

(00:45:27):

Where was the debate with the free speech, a different point of view?

(00:45:32):

This is one of the reasons the Democrats were voted out.

(00:45:36):

And it's one of the reasons also that people were

(00:45:39):

disappointed to some extent with the choice that was offered in the last election

(00:45:43):

on both sides,

(00:45:45):

because some of this started under Trump.

(00:45:48):

But really,

(00:45:49):

the draconian stuff started,

(00:45:51):

as we well remember,

(00:45:53):

under the new Biden administration.

(00:45:55):

I mean, you know, and after the vaccine came in.

(00:45:59):

And the trouble is, although they.

(00:46:00):

Many of these people, these businesses have become monopolies.

(00:46:07):

And we know that Teddy Roosevelt saw the disadvantage of monopoly.

(00:46:11):

I mean, take Microsoft.

(00:46:14):

We are having this conversation on Skype, which Microsoft bought.

(00:46:19):

In May, Skype is going to be closed down.

(00:46:22):

You may migrate to a free version of Teams,

(00:46:25):

also run by Microsoft,

(00:46:27):

but it's not as user-friendly.

(00:46:29):

The free version has considerable limitations compared to the paid version, of course.

(00:46:36):

Skype is simple.

(00:46:36):

You

(00:46:37):

Just go online and you press a button and you can call whoever you want to call.

(00:46:41):

And you can't do that with teams.

(00:46:43):

You've got to sort of set up a meeting.

(00:46:44):

You've got to send an email or whatever within your organization.

(00:46:47):

Maybe you can do it slightly differently.

(00:46:50):

But you don't necessarily have a large organization if you and I are not part of

(00:46:56):

the same organization for these purposes.

(00:46:59):

So that's a classic example of a monopoly player actually becoming even more entrenched.

(00:47:05):

Now, Bill Gates may be a wonderful person.

(00:47:07):

This is not a personal attack on Bill Gates.

(00:47:11):

But the point is,

(00:47:13):

what is even more insidious is a lot of these companies are then providing their

(00:47:20):

services to governments.

(00:47:22):

And they are running government services as well.

(00:47:26):

And then you are forced to use them.

(00:47:27):

You are forced,

(00:47:28):

in many cases,

(00:47:29):

if you wish to communicate with your bank,

(00:47:31):

if you wish to communicate with

(00:47:33):

increasingly with governments,

(00:47:35):

you're forced to have a smart telephone and you're forced,

(00:47:38):

therefore,

(00:47:38):

to use whatever programs these are,

(00:47:40):

often provided by the same people.

(00:47:42):

Facebook is another example.

(00:47:44):

They take your data and they sell it and they make money out of you.

(00:47:50):

And there's very little control you have over how they use that data.

(00:47:55):

And you don't know how secure it is ultimately.

(00:47:59):

You don't know.

(00:48:00):

And of course, governments, even

(00:48:02):

Governments can see this and they want to be in on it as well.

(00:48:06):

They want this untrammeled power.

(00:48:07):

They see what the Chinese are doing and they'd like to do it themselves.

(00:48:11):

Hence this.

(00:48:12):

I mean, in the United Kingdom, a country where they should know better.

(00:48:15):

Hence legislation now,

(00:48:16):

which forces trying to force Apple to give up the encryption of of certain services

(00:48:25):

so that they allegedly the police or whatever can

(00:48:28):

can track down pedophiles.

(00:48:30):

The reality is the police and others have plenty of powers which they failed to use already,

(00:48:35):

but they always want more power.

(00:48:36):

And the only people who ever suffer from these abuses of power are normal people

(00:48:39):

going about their daily lives because they're the targets.

(00:48:45):

And the whole thing is just getting far too powerful.

(00:48:47):

So we need to break up.

(00:48:48):

We need to have a Teddy Roosevelt type approach.

(00:48:52):

It's not hostility to capitalism.

(00:48:55):

It's not hostility to the people running these businesses.

(00:48:59):

It is just unhealthy.

(00:49:00):

Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely.

(00:49:03):

Whether you're a president,

(00:49:05):

a prime minister,

(00:49:06):

or the chief executive or major shareholder of a company for which a large part of

(00:49:13):

the world's population is either dependent or forced to use you.

(00:49:20):

You and I might like to use it.

(00:49:21):

You and I might like to use Skype,

(00:49:23):

but Skype was bought by Microsoft and we are now forced to use Microsoft.

(00:49:27):

Well, do we need someone.

(00:49:30):

Walking behind these people,

(00:49:32):

these billionaires behind the president as well,

(00:49:34):

he's a billionaire,

(00:49:36):

saying,

(00:49:36):

whispering in their ear,

(00:49:37):

you are just a man.

(00:49:39):

We do.

(00:49:40):

I think we do.

(00:49:41):

I mean, it cannot be.

(00:49:44):

It is simply not healthy that any individuals have so much power.

(00:49:51):

unless they are particularly focused on not abusing that power.

(00:49:55):

I mean,

(00:49:56):

you know,

(00:49:56):

you might take it if you look at the current crop of American billionaires,

(00:49:59):

the one who probably is not abusing his power,

(00:50:02):

not even in the economic sense,

(00:50:04):

is Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway,

(00:50:07):

because that's purely an investment.

(00:50:09):

company, and they're just very successful at buying other people's businesses.

(00:50:13):

But he's not trying to create a monopoly, as far as I'm aware.

(00:50:17):

He and the late Charlie Munger were very good at spotting businesses which could

(00:50:23):

make a good return for shareholders.

(00:50:26):

That's a slightly different approach.

(00:50:28):

But Microsoft or these others,

(00:50:32):

I don't deny they make good stuff and we all use it,

(00:50:35):

but there was no need for Microsoft to buy Skype.

(00:50:39):

for example, and then close it down.

(00:50:41):

I mean, that just shows what they would their mentality.

(00:50:45):

I agree.

(00:50:45):

They didn't ask anybody if they liked Skype.

(00:50:48):

You know, we've been using Skype forever.

(00:50:50):

They did a similar thing.

(00:50:51):

They've often done these weird things like.

(00:50:55):

Forcing change on you with word.

(00:50:57):

I mean, when you're already happy.

(00:51:00):

Changing the way your email works without notice or with very brief notice.

(00:51:07):

It's it's it's.

(00:51:09):

It's as if, you know, forget.

(00:51:11):

Look, you have no choice.

(00:51:13):

So we're going to tell you what to do, which is wrong on the face of it.

(00:51:17):

The head of Microsoft actually is Satya Nadella.

(00:51:21):

I had to look that up because I knew.

(00:51:23):

I don't know what I said.

(00:51:23):

I said Cook, but he's the head of Apple.

(00:51:25):

He's the head of Apple, yeah.

(00:51:27):

Yeah.

(00:51:27):

So it's Satya Nadella.

(00:51:29):

And the head of Microsoft AI is Mustafa Suleiman.

(00:51:36):

Interestingly.

(00:51:39):

interesting the uh uh i didn't i didn't remember that i didn't remember that you

(00:51:47):

know but pays to you know this is business stuff and you it's a whole nother world

(00:51:51):

that you have to follow to keep up with it you need to follow it on a daily basis

(00:51:56):

to keep up with what's happening with stocks but i mean the point is the ai the ai

(00:52:01):

services are used by government and at what point

(00:52:04):

is government,

(00:52:05):

if it's dependent on Microsoft AI for a lot of its government services,

(00:52:10):

at what point is government able to turn around to Microsoft and say,

(00:52:13):

oh,

(00:52:13):

by the way,

(00:52:14):

we think certain things should not work in the public interest.

(00:52:18):

And they'll say, hey, we're going to turn off your computers.

(00:52:22):

This is an argument which Trump made when it came to using the Chinese software.

(00:52:29):

We couldn't use Chinese software for our 5G system because

(00:52:32):

That was likely to be controlled by the Chinese government, which is obviously not a good idea.

(00:52:38):

But ultimately, if it's about the abuse of power or the potential abuse of power, a U.S.

(00:52:45):

tech billionaire, we assume he's been brought up and is a subscriber to the U.S.

(00:52:50):

view of democracy, et cetera, et cetera, is a thoroughly good egg.

(00:52:55):

And therefore, you have to assume that.

(00:52:57):

But the problem is power corrupts, right?

(00:52:58):

Power corrupts.

(00:53:02):

We can't assume that any longer.

(00:53:04):

It's the old axiom that you brought up.

(00:53:06):

I mean, it's almost a cliche at this point.

(00:53:09):

I mean, everybody's heard it.

(00:53:12):

And when you look at what is happening today,

(00:53:27):

and particularly with AI,

(00:53:30):

it seems as if what if power

(00:53:32):

and AI develops its own.

(00:53:35):

If power does corrupt and absolute power,

(00:53:39):

what happens when AI gets absolute power and you can't shut it off?

(00:53:43):

Like in 2001,

(00:53:45):

which was made in 1968 or 67,

(00:53:46):

the late 60s,

(00:53:51):

and Arthur C.

(00:53:52):

Clarke wrote about the computer HAL and saw,

(00:53:57):

and that's obviously an AI type of invention,

(00:54:00):

that computer,

(00:54:01):

and saw that it could develop a mind of its own.

(00:54:05):

That's a long time ago.

(00:54:07):

It's rather like the H.G.

(00:54:08):

Wells stuff looking at the future.

(00:54:12):

So this is something that we're facing a lot of howls, you know, in our own homes, perhaps.

(00:54:22):

And you say if the corporation and the corporation do control AI,

(00:54:27):

which means they can take over your computer if they want.

(00:54:30):

Well, they can and they probably do.

(00:54:33):

Yeah.

(00:54:35):

Yeah.

(00:54:36):

Or your telephone or all these sorts of things.

(00:54:39):

Oh, the telephone is obvious.

(00:54:40):

I mean, there's no security on a telephone whatsoever.

(00:54:44):

If anybody has your number, there's no security.

(00:54:48):

But the point is, in many cases, you cannot increasingly access even normal daily services.

(00:54:57):

without um a smartphone i was trying to do something on a uk government website but

(00:55:04):

it i had to download again i had to have a smartphone to do this yeah and they want

(00:55:09):

to they want you to go paperless which i think is just an excuse for more control i

(00:55:13):

mean it's likely oh no paperless it's good for the economy but now we grow a lot of

(00:55:19):

trees i mean trees are harvested by the big

(00:55:21):

companies like United Paper.

(00:55:23):

But it's not that good because,

(00:55:24):

you know,

(00:55:25):

if you think of the amount of energy now,

(00:55:29):

which these servers require to keep cool,

(00:55:33):

they're using huge amounts of energy.

(00:55:36):

Right.

(00:55:36):

If you're talking about sustainability,

(00:55:38):

I think chopping down a tree,

(00:55:40):

turning it into paper,

(00:55:42):

recycling your paper is probably more sustainable.

(00:55:46):

The paper is ultimately recyclable because even if it goes into the as trash,

(00:55:52):

it disintegrates rapidly.

(00:55:53):

Well,

(00:55:54):

essentially,

(00:55:54):

I mean,

(00:55:54):

no doubt the economists or the biologists will tell us we're completely wrong.

(00:55:58):

But I mean, time scale apart, it actually, you know, we have a we have a huge problem.

(00:56:05):

We're completely wrong for sure.

(00:56:07):

Yeah.

(00:56:07):

But I mean,

(00:56:08):

what we need,

(00:56:09):

of course,

(00:56:09):

is the secret of any any economic development in the history of mankind.

(00:56:15):

has been energy.

(00:56:17):

And the leap forward in the Industrial Revolution,

(00:56:21):

for example,

(00:56:22):

in the early part of our human existence,

(00:56:25):

you had to gather firewood.

(00:56:28):

And you gathered firewood and you burned a fire.

(00:56:31):

But the energy you got from burning the firewood was actually not dissimilar from

(00:56:37):

the energy you had to expend to collect the firewood.

(00:56:40):

The great leap forward came with the Industrial Revolution when the energy you got from coal

(00:56:45):

was far greater than the energy required to mine the coal.

(00:56:50):

I mean, this is a great leap forward.

(00:56:52):

And similarly with nuclear power.

(00:56:55):

And what we need is, you know, that's why we should move to nuclear power, in fact.

(00:56:59):

Because without,

(00:57:01):

the reason our economies are stagnating is we're reaching this point where we

(00:57:06):

haven't got enough energy to get things done properly.

(00:57:11):

We can't make these leaps forward in the same way we used to be able to.

(00:57:13):

That's a very good point, eloquently put.

(00:57:17):

Really nice, nice point.

(00:57:20):

I do try.

(00:57:22):

Pretty good.

(00:57:22):

Have you done this before?

(00:57:25):

Every night, I think, during the week.

(00:57:27):

But no,

(00:57:29):

one other thing before we go,

(00:57:31):

because we've run an hour and almost an hour and 10 minutes.

(00:57:38):

Hot coffee.

(00:57:39):

Do you remember the story of the McDonald's coffee back in the late 90s?

(00:57:43):

Oh, yes.

(00:57:45):

something around there a lady had hot coffee spent on her and she got you know a

(00:57:50):

couple million dollars or whatever it was from mcdonald's a lot of money because of

(00:57:54):

hot coffee uh a fellow was in a was in a starbucks and ordered some coffee and they

(00:58:02):

put it in one of those takeaway uh trays right and apparently the lid on one of

(00:58:09):

them was not securely put down which

(00:58:12):

I should be suing a lot of coffee, people, because it's happened to me a bunch of times.

(00:58:15):

But apparently he spilled it into his lap and burned his genitalia.

(00:58:21):

I don't know if he was naked or he had on very thin trousers,

(00:58:27):

but that was some pretty hot coffee,

(00:58:29):

wasn't it?

(00:58:31):

Anyway, he's been awarded $50 million by a jury.

(00:58:36):

Yeah, but presumably that'll be reduced on appeal because that's just crazy.

(00:58:40):

It is crazy,

(00:58:40):

but it makes me think about buying a lot of coffee in Starbucks and spilling it on

(00:58:48):

myself inadvertently or having trying to take the tray and then and then suing Starbucks.

(00:58:55):

What do you think?

(00:58:55):

I shouldn't have said that because it's.

(00:58:58):

Well, I think I should have said it live on.

(00:59:01):

But I think a lot of these cases from an English legal point of view are just nonsense.

(00:59:08):

If you buy a hot coffee, then you have to be careful.

(00:59:10):

And if I spill the coffee, I can't believe it.

(00:59:14):

I don't want to buy a cold coffee, do I?

(00:59:16):

I wouldn't be into a coffee shop to buy a cold coffee.

(00:59:18):

I mean, what temperature do people think they're getting their coffee for?

(00:59:21):

And if I spill it, that's my thing.

(00:59:22):

Actually, I have spilled Starbucks coffee and McDonald's coffee on myself.

(00:59:27):

And I can tell you, it smarted a little bit, but didn't burn me through my clothes.

(00:59:32):

I mean, that coffee would almost have to be on fire, wouldn't it?

(00:59:35):

Well, I'd have thought so.

(00:59:38):

I think in the United States you have a different mentality.

(00:59:44):

The United States takes you that everything in life that is unfortunate in your

(00:59:50):

life is the fault of somebody else who can be sued when you can find a lawyer to do it.

(00:59:54):

And you have a system of contingency fees or fees where you only pay your lawyer if

(01:00:00):

you win and he takes 40% or she takes 40%.

(01:00:01):

And you have a much lower...

(01:00:06):

social security system,

(01:00:09):

much lower social security funds available to help people get over the wrongs in life.

(01:00:15):

So you've gone a slightly different way from continental Europe, it seems to me.

(01:00:20):

But whenever I read of these cases in the newspapers,

(01:00:24):

I'm always just appalled at the sheer disproportion of the financial

(01:00:34):

which is given to somebody for what appears to be a minor accident.

(01:00:38):

Yeah, I mean, I agree with you.

(01:00:42):

I agree with you, but I am going to Google the nearest Starbucks and go over there immediately.

(01:00:47):

Yes, well.

(01:00:48):

The thunderstorm is finished.

(01:00:50):

Well, I think it has.

(01:00:52):

So I'm going to,

(01:00:53):

maybe I'll cycle over there and,

(01:00:58):

you know,

(01:00:58):

sort of trip while they're handing it to me.

(01:01:03):

For me, I just find it just remarkable.

(01:01:07):

You're not going to do that?

(01:01:08):

You're not going to try it out?

(01:01:09):

No, I'm not going to do that, no.

(01:01:12):

No.

(01:01:13):

I'm not.

(01:01:14):

All right.

(01:01:15):

Do you think I should?

(01:01:17):

Well, you're an American.

(01:01:18):

I'm a free agent.

(01:01:20):

You're an American in the United States.

(01:01:21):

That's kind of the way you folk do this sort of stuff.

(01:01:25):

That's true.

(01:01:26):

I mean, I wouldn't be American if I didn't at least try it.

(01:01:29):

Well, that's exactly the point, isn't it?

(01:01:31):

Although I did feel a lot of sympathy for the fellow, you know, who burned his privates.

(01:01:39):

Well, yeah, but he spilled the coffee.

(01:01:43):

It wasn't the Starbucks people had spilled it.

(01:01:46):

I know, that's the hazy part.

(01:01:48):

It seems as if the Starbucks employee may have aided the spillage,

(01:01:54):

you know,

(01:01:54):

at the moment of taking it.

(01:01:56):

The lid was slightly off and then it tilted.

(01:01:59):

You see, this has all been worked out.

(01:02:01):

We'd have to read the transcript.

(01:02:02):

We would have to.

(01:02:04):

But $50 million.

(01:02:05):

I think it's a movie of the week myself.

(01:02:07):

Yeah, but $50 million is just wasting everybody's time, isn't it?

(01:02:12):

It's just completely ridiculous.

(01:02:13):

I don't know.

(01:02:14):

Maybe if you gave him a couple hundred bucks, that'd be about right.

(01:02:18):

Well, yeah, or you offered to buy him a new pair of shorts or trousers or whatever.

(01:02:22):

Make him a lifetime member of Starbucks.

(01:02:24):

Yeah, the whole thing is just completely disproportionate.

(01:02:28):

Anyway, you want to add anything?

(01:02:31):

Is there anything you want to talk about?

(01:02:33):

No, I think we're now left with this enduring image of genitalia damaged by Starbucks coffee.

(01:02:42):

Yeah, I mean, I find it disturbing.

(01:02:44):

But, you know, we live in a disturbing world and we're going to have to live with it.

(01:02:47):

Yeah,

(01:02:49):

and who knows what this next week will bring because it seems that the world

(01:02:52):

changes very rapidly.

(01:02:54):

Yeah, I think by the time we talk next week, half of what we said could be totally redundant.

(01:03:00):

Anyway, that doesn't seem to bother anyone else.

(01:03:03):

So why should it bother us?

(01:03:05):

I'm Will Richardson here.

(01:03:07):

He's Nicholas Richardson.

(01:03:11):

We'll see you next time.

(01:03:12):

Okay, great.

(01:03:15):

Cheers, Nicholas.

(01:03:15):

Bye.

Discussion about this video